Cognitive Systems for Anticipatory Thinking

AAAI Fall Symposium 2019

Nov 7-9, Washington, DC

#COGSAT19

Our Schedule and Invited Speakers is now available!

Feedback Exit Survey (updated November 9th)

If you are interested in the future of Anticipatory Thinking, please fill out our exit survey and give us feedback! https://forms.gle/fjhZbk4XaiCUXMA87

Symposium Registration / Hotel (updated October 4th)

Register

Registration for the AAAI Fall Symposium on Cognitive Systems for Anticipatory Thinking is now available! Check out our schedule and invited speakers to learn more about our event.

Click on this link to register: https://cvent.me/3qq59

Final registration deadline: October 11, 2019

Attend

AAAI has reserved a block of rooms at the Westin Arlington Gateway. The room rate per night is $205.00 (King/Double).

Click on this link to reserve: https://tinyurl.com/fss19-hotel (Or call Reservations: +1-888-627-7076, reference AAAI)

Room rate deadline: October 16, 2019

Vision

Anticipatory thinking, the deliberate and divergent exploration of relevant possible futures, is a key concept in several contexts. From formal definitions of intelligence analysis to the exploration of relevant possible futures in the presence of exogenous events of our everyday lives, we rely on anticipatory thinking (AT) to evaluate the current and possible future states of the world to prepare ourselves, avoid erroneous expectations, and mitigate risk.

This symposium focuses on understanding, quantifying, and improving anticipatory thinking capabilities across humans and machines.

We expect this symposium to draw on prior work from existing AI fields including but not limited to: mixed-initiative planning, goal reasoning, case based reasoning, analogical reasoning, computational narrative, intentionality, theory-of-mind, cognitive architectures, games, intelligent tutoring systems. In particular, we are excited to provide a convergence point between the cognitive systems and prospective cognition communities. This focus on collaboration and strong application contexts, offers several ways to engage. Our symposium will include:

  • Shorter talks (15-30 minutes) for papers accepted for presentation
  • Invited talks (45-60 minutes) for guest speakers
  • Breakout sessions (60 minutes) that result in panel discussions
  • Poster sessions (90 minutes) for preliminary work, case studies, and collaboration opportunities

Scope

We invite the community to present work in the following four topic areas, accompanied by related (but not definitive) research questions:

Measurement

The assessment and evaluation of AT

    1. How are prospective cognition modality measurements related to AT?
    2. How can we assess and evaluate individual traits relevant to AT?
    3. How can we assess and evaluate for group collaboration?

Support

Systems that augment and aid AT related tasks

    1. How can we define successful AT across tasks?
    2. How do different methodologies affect AT?
    3. How can technology platforms augment prospective cognition modalities?

Training

Improving an individual's AT skills

    1. How can adaptive training affect AT?
    2. How does game-based learning affect the cognitive consequences needed for AT?
    3. How does proficiency in methodology interact with domain expertise to affect AT?

Applications

Domain-specific contexts for AT. Examples include (but not limited to):

    1. Insurance – Premiums are affected most by named perils, unnamed ones have little effect
    2. Strategic foresight – Identifies trends, events and change that will impact future operations of government and business to create strategic plans
    3. Emergency management – Mitigates impacts of hazards by investing in disaster infrastructure such as floodways
    4. Intelligence analysis – Uncover intentions to hypothesize future actions and respond to them
    5. Military planning – Identify courses of actions providing fast response once an engagement begins

Participate

A full call for participation is available here, below are the important parts:

We invite contributions in a variety of forms on topics within the scope of this call:

  • Full papers (6-8 pages) describing interesting, novel results, or completed work.
  • Short position papers (3-5 pages) presenting exciting preliminary work or novel thought-provoking ideas in their early stages.
  • Platforms, Case Study, and Poster papers (1-2 pages) describing working, presentable software, hardware, or brief explanations of studies, datasets, or research projects of interest.

Paper submissions should follow AAAI style guidelines.

Papers will be uploaded through EasyChair and will be guaranteed at least two reviews. Further, papers should be format for blind review with all identifying author information removed. You are welcome to upload your paper on your own personal website or ArXiv with identifying information.

Attendee information can be found at the main AAAI site here.

Important Dates (updated October 4)

All deadlines are specified as Anywhere on Earth time unless otherwise noted.

  • Submissions due: August 23s September 2nd (Extended!)
  • Notifications to authors: September 23
  • Final papers due to organizers: September 30
  • Registration deadline: October 11

Recommended Reading (updated June 26)

While we want to encourage a wide variety of approaches, here are some references we expect to inform many of the submissions

  • Szpunar, K. K., Spreng, R. N., & Schacter, D. L. (2014). A taxonomy of prospection: Introducing an organizational framework for future-oriented cognition. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(52), 18414–18421.
  • Klein, G., Snowden, D., & Pin, C. L. (2011). Anticipatory Thinking. In Informed by Knowledge: Expert Performance in Complex Situations (pp. 235–246).
  • Bratman, M. (1987). Intention, Plans, and Practical Reason. Palo Alto: Center for the Study of Language and Information.
  • Geden, M., Smith, A., Campbell, J., Amos-Binks, A., Mott, B., Feng, J., & Lester, J. (2018). Towards Adaptive Support for Anticipatory Thinking. In Proceedings of the Technology, Mind, and Society (pp. 11:1--11:1). New York, NY, USA: ACM.
  • Geden, M., Smith, A., Campbell, J., Spain, R., Amos-Binks, A., Mott, B., … Lester, J. (2019, June 26). Construction and Validation of an Anticipatory Thinking Assessment. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/9reby
  • Amos-Binks, A., Dannenhauer, D. (2019, June 28). Anticipatory Thinking: A Metacognitive Capability. https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.12249

Collaboration Sessions (updated July 15)

We invite you to participate in collaboration sessions organized by the Symposium Organizing Committee. These collaboration sessions are intended to provide potential attendees with more information regarding the scope of the symposium, as well as to help educate the scientific community on basic concepts in and around anticipatory thinking. We also hope to provide a platform to discuss ideas for potential submissions to the symposium and foster collaboration among would-be attendees.


We will organize 3 sessions (2 weeks apart), held online via Cisco Webex, at 1:00 PM Eastern Time (UTC-4). We will invite interested parties directly via email.


The three sessions will be celebrated on the following dates:

  1. July 19, 2019
  2. August 2, 2019
  3. August 16, 2019

If you are interested in participating, please sign up at the following link and we will send you the webex information:

https://forms.gle/hjRFS5UFavQ1u7kw5


We look forward to seeing you there!

Program Committee

Organizing Committee

Dr. Adam Amos-Binks (chair)Chief AI ScientistApplied Research Associates, Inc.
Dr. Dustin DannenhauerScientistNavatek LLC
Dr. Rogelio E. Cardona-RiveraAssistant ProfessorUniversity of Utah
Dr. Gene BrewerAssociate ProfessorArizona State University

Questions

If you have any questions about the symposium, contact the chairs at cogsat.chairs@gmail.com.